Collier EBCS: Fourth Quarter 2023 Report
October 31, 2023 / RERI Research Team
Neither the US nor Southwest Florida experienced any semblance of a recession that experts have predicted for a while in the third quarter of 2023, but uncertainty moving forward still looms. A Federal government shutdown was averted in late September as lawmakers came to an eleventh hour agreement that would fund the government through mid-November. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the federal funds rate at 5.25 to 5.50 percent in their latest meeting on September 20, stating that “tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring, and inflation. The extent of these effects remains uncertain.” FOMC Chair Jerome Powell, at an October 19 luncheon, further noted that “additional evidence of persistently above-trend growth, or that tightness in the labor market is no longer easing, could put further progress on inflation at risk and could warrant further tightening of monetary policy.”