Collier EBCS: Third Quarter 2024 Report
August 01, 2024 / RERI Research Team
Data from the second quarter of 2024 suggests that the national economy is beginning to slow, though signals are still mixed. While the labor market remains strong, the seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.1 percent in June, marking the highest level since October 2021. In contrast, advanced estimates for real gross domestic product (GDP) were more optimistic, showing a 2.8 percent annualized increase and surpassing expectations for the second quarter of 2024. This followed a weak first quarter when real GDP grew at a meager 1.4 percent annualized rate. GDP gains come as sentiment among consumers, who represent roughly two-thirds of total GDP, fell during the second quarter, dropping 11.2 points from March to June 2024. Commentary from the June survey suggested that consumers continue to express concerns about high prices and weakening incomes on their personal finances.